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South Florida in the cone for it's first Tropical Storm this season.

Discussion in 'General Yachting Discussion' started by Capt J, Jul 28, 2020.

  1. rtrafford

    rtrafford Senior Member

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    Yeah, this thing is taking its time to organize and strengthen, moving west quickly, and it certainly seems what would be the center of circulation if organized is further south than being advertised by models. Heads up Gulf states...
  2. bayoubud

    bayoubud Senior Member

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    They now have moved it back to the East?
  3. rtrafford

    rtrafford Senior Member

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    Reportedly the European models project the Bermuda high to weaken and create an alley east of Florida.
  4. Capt Ralph

    Capt Ralph Senior Member

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    NFC
    Not a Fracking Clue
    Again..
  5. rtrafford

    rtrafford Senior Member

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    Ask me Sunday. I'll explain wha'happen'
  6. Norseman

    Norseman Senior Member

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    Yup, veering back East, but if the thing runs over Hispaniola the mountains may tear it apart.
    Optimistic for now and planning a 2 night/3 day cruise tomorrow.
    (With a quick return option of course..:cool:)
  7. bayoubud

    bayoubud Senior Member

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    You are optimistic. Happy Cruzin!
  8. olderboater

    olderboater Senior Member

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    As it moves off the Florida shore, what may be good for us is bad for others. Now showing a direct hit on the Bahamas as a CAT 1 hurricane.
  9. bayoubud

    bayoubud Senior Member

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    They don't need another hurricane. Just heard the term "Covidcane", not a good combination.
  10. Norseman

    Norseman Senior Member

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  11. bayoubud

    bayoubud Senior Member

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    Good setup, bring it on.
  12. olderboater

    olderboater Senior Member

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    Now expected to increase to a CAT 2 before hitting the Bahamas and then it's path and speed are both uncertain.
  13. Norseman

    Norseman Senior Member

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    Interesting comment from the Governor on TV 11:30: If the storm veers to the West it will weaken, if veers East it will strengthen.
    Is there any science behind his prediction...?

    (Besides friction from land perhaps.)
  14. YachtForums

    YachtForums Administrator

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    Same science that disrupts all storms. If part (or all) of the eye wall is over land, it looses it's source of energy.
  15. Norseman

    Norseman Senior Member

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    True, I thought he was referring to something else, but no idea what that would be..
    That being said, Wilma came across land it she was still mad as hell.
    Started preparing boats, but not running lines across the canal yet.
    Nobody else in the neighborhood has done preparations yet.
    The 5PM update should be interesting.
  16. YachtForums

    YachtForums Administrator

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    True that about Wilma! If I recall, that storm was being accelerated by a big, sweeping cold front. It caused Wilma to have more punch than the stated Cat category. The backside of that storm was wicked. Keep in mind, Wilma came across the state from SW Florida and exited across Martin County. Lots of water in the everglades! And hot too, it's a shallow pool.
  17. Pascal

    Pascal Senior Member

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  18. rtrafford

    rtrafford Senior Member

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    It's based upon the reaction of the storm to its shearing wind currents. If the storm strengthens, it will encourage it to turn to the north pushing against the NE flow of the upper winds. If it stays weak those same winds will keep shearing and storm won't push against the upper winds which would have it keep drifting further NW instead of making the faster turn.
  19. Norseman

    Norseman Senior Member

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    Aha, that makes sense, thx.
  20. YachtForums

    YachtForums Administrator

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    I learned something new. Thank you!